Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BETWAY AVIATOR MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Fostinovo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Emporium 2 53.5 1 0.00 0.0 93 87 93 +0 2 Houston 3 56.0 2 0.10 8.5 79 75 75 -4 3 Fostinovo 3 60.0 3 1.20 8.5 87 87 87 +0 4 Arividicio 5 58.0 4 1.40 0.0 83 99 99 +16 5 Global Impact 2 60.5 5 3.90 0.0 88 102 102 +14 6 Pinch Hit 2 56.5 6 5.80 0.0 80 93 93 +13 7 Rattle Bag 6 57.5 7 6.05 0.0 81 95 95 +14 8 Mo Jive 2 58.5 8 6.10 0.0 84 97 97 +13 9 Clarkson 4 60.0 9 8.40 6.0 86 88 88 +2 10 Juliet Tango 6 62.5 10 13.40 0.0 91 105 105 +14 99 Rain Or Shine 4 56.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emporium | 93 | 89 | 93 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Houston | 79 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Fostinovo Line | 87 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Arividicio | 83 | 50 | 99 | -49 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Global Impact | 88 | 74 | 102 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pinch Hit | 80 | 74 | 93 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Rattle Bag | 81 | 71 | 95 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mo Jive | 84 | 78 | 97 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Clarkson | 86 | 75 | 88 | -13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Juliet Tango | 91 | 81 | 105 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rain Or Shine | - | 82 | 80 | +2 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points