Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Lickety Split
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Coulditbe 4 59.5 1 0.00 6.0 75 59 59 -16 2 Lickety Split 2 57.5 2 0.75 0.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Donna Mo 2 59.0 3 4.00 0.0 74 71 71 -3 4 Two A Penny 2 60.0 4 4.75 0.0 - 72 72 +72 5 Grandiosa 2 60.0 5 5.50 0.0 - 72 72 +72 6 Green Isle 2 59.5 6 7.00 0.0 75 71 71 -4 7 Youreyesonly 2 57.0 7 7.40 0.0 54 66 66 +12 8 Tuscany 2 57.5 8 13.15 0.0 55 67 67 +12 9 Future Contract 3 55.0 9 16.90 8.5 47 45 45 -2 10 Princess Raya 2 60.0 10 17.40 0.0 - 72 72 +72 11 Black Hole Sun 4 55.0 11 19.65 6.0 48 50 50 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coulditbe | 75 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lickety Split Line | 71 | 84 | 71 | +13 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Donna Mo | 74 | 89 | 71 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Two A Penny | - | 85 | 72 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Grandiosa | - | 80 | 72 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Green Isle | 75 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Youreyesonly | 54 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tuscany | 55 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Future Contract | 47 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Princess Raya | - | 45 | 72 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Black Hole Sun | 48 | 53 | 50 | +3 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points