Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING BET WITH THE BEST CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Bluff On Bluff
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Captain Arrow 2 59.0 1 0.00 6.5 89 82 82 -7 2 Bluff On Bluff 3 59.5 2 0.75 9.5 77 77 77 +0 3 Future Variety 4 61.5 3 1.05 11.0 94 78 84 -10 4 Elusive Trader 6 58.5 4 1.55 0.0 75 94 94 +19 5 Wylie Jack 6 52.5 5 2.55 0.0 60 82 82 +22 6 Teflon Man 4 59.5 6 2.65 11.0 90 74 80 -10 7 Jewel Cat 2 59.5 7 3.90 6.5 90 83 83 -7 8 Rock On Tommy 3 52.0 8 3.95 9.5 52 62 62 +10 9 Cityscape 2 54.5 9 4.95 6.5 67 73 73 +6 10 Final Move 3 53.0 10 5.70 9.5 64 64 64 +0 11 Ravensthorpe 3 61.0 11 7.20 9.5 80 80 80 +0 99 Tough Terrain 5 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 94 94 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Captain Arrow | 89 | 101 | 82 | +19 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | Bluff On Bluff Line | 77 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 9.5 | ||
| 3 | Future Variety | 94 | 116 | 84 | +32 | 11.0 | - | |
| 4 | Elusive Trader | 75 | 72 | 94 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Wylie Jack | 60 | 61 | 82 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Teflon Man | 90 | 106 | 80 | +26 | 11.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jewel Cat | 90 | 91 | 83 | +8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 8 | Rock On Tommy | 52 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cityscape | 67 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 10 | Final Move | 64 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 9.5 | - | |
| 11 | Ravensthorpe | 80 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tough Terrain | - | 81 | 94 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points