Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Creme Brulee
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Unconquerable Lady 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 87 68 68 -19 2 Nordic Quest 2 55.0 2 0.75 0.0 84 69 74 -10 3 Creme Brulee 2 55.5 3 1.15 0.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Siddeley 2 56.5 4 1.35 0.0 87 71 77 -10 5 Oni San 2 58.0 5 1.85 0.0 90 74 80 -10 6 Mia's Harper 2 55.5 6 2.05 0.0 85 69 75 -10 7 Busy Lizzie 2 59.5 7 2.45 0.0 78 76 76 -2 8 Where's The Party 5 60.5 8 2.75 0.0 80 78 78 -2 9 Allende 3 60.5 9 4.00 8.0 80 61 70 -10 10 Kabon Kapi 5 56.5 10 10.00 0.0 72 68 68 -4 11 Electric Feels 5 55.0 11 12.00 0.0 69 65 65 -4 99 Treasure Hunt 6 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Double Grand Slam 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Double Dream 3 58.5 99 0.00 8.0 - 56 56 +0 99 Green Valkyrie 4 54.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unconquerable Lady | 87 | 90 | 68 | +22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Nordic Quest | 84 | 101 | 74 | +27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Creme Brulee Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Siddeley | 87 | 105 | 77 | +28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Oni San | 90 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mia's Harper | 85 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Busy Lizzie | 78 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Where's The Party | 80 | 85 | 78 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Allende | 80 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kabon Kapi | 72 | 96 | 68 | +28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Electric Feels | 69 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Treasure Hunt | - | 80 | 74 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Double Grand Slam | - | 122 | 72 | +50 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Double Dream | - | 71 | 56 | +15 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Green Valkyrie | - | 74 | 54 | +20 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points