Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Rafiki
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Porfirio             6    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   60    59           60    +0
2    Justfortheepenny     5    57.0    2    0.40     0.0   60    64           64    +4
3    Majestic Warrior     2    58.5    3    0.60     0.0   64    67           67    +3
4    Rafiki               2    58.5    4    3.00     0.0   64    64           64    +0
5    Brave Voyager        3    56.5    5    5.60     8.5   59    41           49    -10
6    Ravens Sword         3    57.5    6    6.00     8.5   61    43           51    -10
7    Vengeance Forever    3    55.0    7    8.20     8.5   56    38           46    -10
8    Safe Space           5    56.5    8    8.25     0.0   68    58           58    -10
9    Bally Magic          6    58.0    9    8.45     0.0   65    61           61    -4
10   Fever                5    53.5    10   9.35     0.0   53    52           52    -1
11   Red Mahogany         3    53.0    11   9.85     8.5   52    34           42    -10
12   Barbatti             3    48.0    12   99.99    8.5   46    24           36    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Porfirio 60 88 60 +28 0.0 -
2 Justfortheepenny 60 65 64 +1 0.0 -
3 Majestic Warrior 64 86 67 +19 0.0 -
4 Rafiki Line 64 67 64 +3 0.0
5 Brave Voyager 59 51 49 +2 8.5 -
6 Ravens Sword 61 53 51 +2 8.5 -
7 Vengeance Forever 56 51 46 +5 8.5 -
8 Safe Space 68 83 58 +25 0.0 -
9 Bally Magic 65 60 61 -1 0.0 -
10 Fever 53 52 52 ✓ Match 0.0 -
11 Red Mahogany 52 48 42 +6 8.5 -
12 Barbatti 46 47 36 +11 8.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points