Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: DOWNLOAD THE RACE CARD ONLINE www.goldcircle.co.za QUALIFIED MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Without Doubt
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Protea Pride 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 59 63 63 +4 2 Purple Operator 3 60.0 2 0.30 3.0 68 66 66 -2 3 Without Doubt 3 60.0 3 0.90 3.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Trident King 3 60.0 4 1.20 3.0 66 65 65 -1 5 Bush Fire 3 60.0 5 3.80 3.0 65 62 62 -3 6 Belle's First Wave 3 60.0 6 4.60 3.0 62 61 61 -1 7 Mon Tresor 3 56.5 7 5.50 3.0 51 54 54 +3 8 Merchant Gold 3 60.0 8 9.70 3.0 62 61 61 -1 9 Dunstealmythunda 3 58.5 9 11.10 3.0 54 58 58 +4 10 Bushido 3 60.0 10 19.80 3.0 54 61 61 +7 11 Blizzard Ahead 3 60.0 11 32.60 3.0 54 61 61 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Protea Pride | 59 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Purple Operator | 68 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Without Doubt Line | 65 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Trident King | 66 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bush Fire | 65 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Belle's First Wave | 62 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mon Tresor | 51 | 71 | 54 | +17 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Merchant Gold | 62 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Dunstealmythunda | 54 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bushido | 54 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Blizzard Ahead | 54 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points