Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: V & P METALS RECYCLING SOLUTION FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Mysterious Girl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Columbia Road 3 52.5 1 0.00 9.5 53 32 53 +0 2 Leopard Lady 4 57.0 2 0.05 6.0 62 48 52 -10 3 Mysterious Girl 2 59.5 3 1.15 0.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Fashionigma 3 57.0 4 1.55 9.5 62 44 52 -10 5 Jollification 3 59.5 5 1.60 9.5 69 49 59 -10 6 Givers Grace 2 56.5 6 2.10 0.0 80 62 70 -10 7 Blazing Astute 3 60.0 7 2.35 9.5 68 49 58 -10 8 Roy's Rocker 3 48.0 8 5.05 9.5 52 23 42 -10 9 If You Say So 3 55.5 9 5.85 9.5 59 38 49 -10 10 Princess Ozma 2 60.0 10 5.95 0.0 70 66 66 -4 11 Doctor's Orders 2 54.0 11 6.25 0.0 75 54 65 -10 12 Two Minds 3 53.0 12 8.05 9.5 56 33 46 -10 13 Roy's T's 2 54.5 13 17.45 0.0 59 55 55 -4 14 Rosslyne 2 55.0 14 19.15 0.0 63 56 56 -7 99 Hot Strike 7 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbia Road | 53 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Leopard Lady | 62 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mysterious Girl Line | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Fashionigma | 62 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Jollification | 69 | 77 | 59 | +18 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Givers Grace | 80 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Blazing Astute | 68 | 74 | 58 | +16 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Roy's Rocker | 52 | 53 | 42 | +11 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | If You Say So | 59 | 57 | 49 | +8 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Princess Ozma | 70 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Doctor's Orders | 75 | 79 | 65 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Two Minds | 56 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 13 | Roy's T's | 59 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Rosslyne | 63 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hot Strike | - | 59 | 55 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points