Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BETWAY AVIATOR MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 101 and below)
Line Horse
Perfect Witness
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Perfect Witness 3 57.5 1 0.00 9.5 97 97 97 +0 2 Bey Suyay 4 54.5 2 0.25 6.0 85 98 98 +13 3 Ipso Facto 2 55.5 3 1.75 0.0 95 115 115 +20 4 Destiny Of Souls 2 58.0 4 2.50 0.0 93 119 119 +26 5 Afraad 8 50.0 5 4.00 0.0 77 102 102 +25 6 Terra Time 3 57.5 6 4.50 9.5 95 97 97 +2 7 Scarlett Pimpernel 2 50.0 7 6.00 0.0 94 101 101 +7 8 Raffles 2 60.0 8 22.00 0.0 98 121 121 +23 9 Total Protection 2 57.5 9 99.99 0.0 96 116 116 +20 99 Ocean Warrior 3 62.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 106 106 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perfect Witness Line | 97 | 105 | 97 | +8 | 9.5 | ||
| 2 | Bey Suyay | 85 | 84 | 98 | -14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Ipso Facto | 95 | 92 | 115 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Destiny Of Souls | 93 | 89 | 119 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Afraad | 77 | 79 | 102 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Terra Time | 95 | 96 | 97 | -1 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Scarlett Pimpernel | 94 | 90 | 101 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Raffles | 98 | 105 | 121 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Total Protection | 96 | 96 | 116 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ocean Warrior | - | 95 | 106 | -11 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points