Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BETWAY BOOST FM 87 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Lady Calavera
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Key Element 4 54.0 1 0.00 6.0 92 73 92 +0 2 I Am Regal 5 53.5 2 0.10 0.0 78 84 84 +6 3 Lady Calavera 4 56.5 3 2.75 6.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Midnight Crystal 2 53.5 4 5.25 0.0 80 84 84 +4 5 Ballroom Bliss 4 57.5 5 5.75 6.0 82 80 80 -2 6 Avoontoast 5 58.5 6 7.25 0.0 85 94 94 +9 7 Queen Of Smoke 2 60.0 7 13.75 0.0 88 97 97 +9 99 Back To The Future 2 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 99 Elemental Force 2 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 99 Light Of Day 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 89 89 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Key Element | 92 | 92 | 92 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | I Am Regal | 78 | 75 | 84 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lady Calavera Line | 80 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Midnight Crystal | 80 | 66 | 84 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ballroom Bliss | 82 | 84 | 80 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Avoontoast | 85 | 86 | 94 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Queen Of Smoke | 88 | 74 | 97 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Back To The Future | - | 74 | 82 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Elemental Force | - | 78 | 81 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Light Of Day | - | 61 | 89 | -28 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points