Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Bluff On Bluff
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rod The Mod 3 60.0 1 0.00 9.5 86 86 86 +0 2 Barney Mcgrew 4 60.0 2 0.75 11.0 87 83 83 -4 3 Bluff On Bluff 3 55.5 3 2.00 9.5 77 77 77 +0 4 Benjamin 4 57.0 4 2.05 11.0 80 77 77 -3 5 Gimmelightning 2 58.5 5 2.15 6.5 97 89 89 -8 6 Pacific Green 2 60.0 6 3.65 6.5 92 92 92 +0 7 Different Face (GB) 4 53.0 7 4.40 11.0 78 69 69 -9 8 Silver Crown 2 55.5 8 4.45 6.5 90 83 83 -7 9 Mojo Man 4 60.0 9 6.95 11.0 101 83 91 -10 99 Porque Te Vas 5 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rod The Mod | 86 | 90 | 86 | +4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Barney Mcgrew | 87 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 11.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bluff On Bluff Line | 77 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 9.5 | ||
| 4 | Benjamin | 80 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gimmelightning | 97 | 95 | 89 | +6 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | Pacific Green | 92 | 91 | 92 | -1 | 6.5 | - | |
| 7 | Different Face (GB) | 78 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 11.0 | - | |
| 8 | Silver Crown | 90 | 84 | 83 | +1 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mojo Man | 101 | 80 | 91 | -11 | 11.0 | - | |
| 99 | Porque Te Vas | - | 78 | 96 | -18 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points