Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST PINNACLE STAKES (For all horses)
Line Horse
Passage Of Power
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Waterberry Lane 6 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 115 104 104 -11 2 Mr Master Starter 6 58.0 2 2.70 0.0 98 98 98 +0 3 Passage Of Power 6 54.0 3 2.95 0.0 90 90 90 +0 4 Formagear 5 56.5 4 3.00 0.0 96 95 95 -1 5 Money Heist 2 59.0 5 3.05 0.0 106 100 100 -6 6 Queue Wing 7 58.0 6 3.15 0.0 98 98 98 +0 7 Royal Victory 5 60.5 7 3.65 0.0 111 102 102 -9 8 Sun Blushed 2 57.5 8 4.35 0.0 106 95 96 -10 9 Platinum Sky 3 58.0 9 5.55 8.0 99 80 89 -10 10 Seeking The Stars 7 62.0 10 5.75 0.0 121 104 111 -10 11 Valerias Dream 3 50.0 11 6.25 8.0 87 64 77 -10 12 Capetown Beauty 3 56.0 12 7.35 8.0 101 76 91 -10 13 With Pleasure 3 59.0 13 11.85 8.0 105 82 95 -10 14 Rex Union 4 58.0 14 16.55 5.0 97 86 87 -10 99 Winter Games 4 52.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 75 75 +0 99 Ultra Quick 6 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterberry Lane | 115 | 108 | 104 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mr Master Starter | 98 | 97 | 98 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Passage Of Power Line | 90 | 76 | 90 | -14 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Formagear | 96 | 108 | 95 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Money Heist | 106 | 106 | 100 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Queue Wing | 98 | 81 | 98 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Royal Victory | 111 | 124 | 102 | +22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sun Blushed | 106 | 120 | 96 | +24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Platinum Sky | 99 | 99 | 89 | +10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Seeking The Stars | 121 | 116 | 111 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Valerias Dream | 87 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | - | |
| 12 | Capetown Beauty | 101 | 76 | 91 | -15 | 8.0 | - | |
| 13 | With Pleasure | 105 | 97 | 95 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 14 | Rex Union | 97 | 97 | 87 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Winter Games | - | 103 | 75 | +28 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ultra Quick | - | 71 | 84 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points