Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TRACK & BALL GAMING MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pascali
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Head Gardener 3 48.0 1 0.00 9.5 52 43 52 +0 2 Pascali 3 56.5 2 1.40 9.5 65 65 65 +0 3 Dance To The Music 3 57.5 3 1.45 9.5 65 67 67 +2 4 Bayview Express 5 56.5 4 2.05 0.0 63 84 84 +21 5 Silly Fella 4 52.0 5 2.95 6.0 51 61 61 +10 6 King Of Seville 2 52.5 6 14.75 0.0 82 71 72 -10 99 Flag Bearer 3 59.5 99 0.00 9.5 - 66 66 +0 99 National Dream 6 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Head Gardener | 52 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Pascali Line | 65 | 68 | 65 | +3 | 9.5 | ||
| 3 | Dance To The Music | 65 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Bayview Express | 63 | 62 | 84 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Silly Fella | 51 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | King Of Seville | 82 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Flag Bearer | - | 60 | 66 | -6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | National Dream | - | 68 | 85 | -17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points