Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BETWAY BACK THE BOKS MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pendragon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Siberian Steel 3 58.5 1 0.00 9.5 77 61 77 +0 2 Pendragon 5 56.0 2 0.75 0.0 75 75 75 +0 3 Fulliautomatix 3 52.0 3 2.25 9.5 52 48 48 -4 4 Smelting 7 52.0 4 5.25 0.0 55 67 67 +12 5 Clean Living 2 50.5 5 7.00 6.5 64 51 54 -10 6 Flying Broomstick 3 53.0 6 9.75 9.5 69 50 59 -10 7 Above The World 2 52.5 7 9.85 6.5 68 55 58 -10 99 Mandalay 3 50.5 99 0.00 9.5 - 45 45 +0 99 In The Ether 6 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Tayooba 2 61.0 99 0.00 6.5 - 72 72 +0 99 Happy Analia 4 53.5 99 0.00 11.0 - 48 48 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siberian Steel | 77 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Pendragon Line | 75 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Fulliautomatix | 52 | 66 | 48 | +18 | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Smelting | 55 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Clean Living | 64 | 61 | 54 | +7 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | Flying Broomstick | 69 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Above The World | 68 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Mandalay | - | 53 | 45 | +8 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | In The Ether | - | 63 | 72 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tayooba | - | 68 | 72 | -4 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Happy Analia | - | 78 | 48 | +30 | 11.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points