Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 7 OCTOBER MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 101 and below)
Line Horse
Breeze Over
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rule Book 6 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 75 76 76 +1 2 Breeze Over 5 56.0 2 1.75 0.0 84 84 84 +0 3 American Grayson 3 56.0 3 4.75 11.0 82 58 72 -10 4 Over Two You 3 54.0 4 8.00 11.0 72 54 62 -10 5 Flying First Class 4 57.5 5 11.00 8.0 87 67 77 -10 6 Indian War Dance 3 54.0 6 12.40 11.0 58 54 54 -4 7 Coromandel 4 54.0 7 13.70 8.0 64 60 60 -4 8 The Kop 4 57.5 8 19.40 8.0 86 67 76 -10 9 Kind Judy 4 51.5 9 21.15 8.0 72 55 62 -10 10 Barneys Pride 3 54.0 10 32.40 11.0 76 54 66 -10 99 Battleground 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rule Book | 75 | 92 | 76 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Breeze Over Line | 84 | 99 | 84 | +15 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | American Grayson | 82 | 84 | 72 | +12 | 11.0 | - | |
| 4 | Over Two You | 72 | 74 | 62 | +12 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | Flying First Class | 87 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Indian War Dance | 58 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 11.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coromandel | 64 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Kop | 86 | 78 | 76 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kind Judy | 72 | 73 | 62 | +11 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Barneys Pride | 76 | 76 | 66 | +10 | 11.0 | - | |
| 99 | Battleground | - | 92 | 84 | +8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points