Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Jazz Diva
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Global Secret 3 51.0 1 0.00 8.0 62 52 62 +0 2 Star Choice 5 59.0 2 0.25 0.0 70 84 84 +14 3 Jazz Diva 3 60.0 3 1.55 8.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Maggie Tee 3 52.0 4 2.95 8.0 57 56 56 -1 5 Flower Festival 4 54.0 5 3.35 5.0 76 65 66 -10 6 Count Your Chances 5 56.0 6 3.55 0.0 65 79 79 +14 7 Angelic Fort 3 54.5 7 4.55 8.0 61 59 59 -2 8 Birdwatcher 5 52.5 8 5.35 0.0 57 71 71 +14 9 Rockingthetimeaway 3 55.0 9 6.55 8.0 62 60 60 -2 10 Vermacilli 3 53.0 10 7.05 8.0 67 56 57 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Secret | 62 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Star Choice | 70 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Jazz Diva Line | 73 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Maggie Tee | 57 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Flower Festival | 76 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Count Your Chances | 65 | 51 | 79 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Angelic Fort | 61 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Birdwatcher | 57 | 53 | 71 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rockingthetimeaway | 62 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Vermacilli | 67 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points