Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BETWAY AVIATOR MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Southern Style
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Southern Style 5 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 70 70 70 +0 2 Princess Lola 2 58.0 2 3.25 6.5 - 61 61 +61 3 Venetian Moonlight 3 58.0 3 5.75 9.5 - 55 55 +55 4 Someday Maybe 3 60.0 4 6.00 9.5 56 59 59 +3 5 Plenilunio 3 58.0 5 7.00 9.5 - 55 55 +55 6 Dambusters 3 58.0 6 8.00 9.5 - 55 55 +55 7 Shine In Memphis 2 56.5 7 8.25 6.5 75 58 65 -10 8 Spirit In The Wind 4 58.0 8 8.75 11.0 - 52 52 +52 9 Chilli Marmalade 5 60.0 9 11.25 0.0 60 78 78 +18 10 Bilingual 4 58.0 10 11.50 11.0 - 52 52 +52 11 Teo Torriatte 4 58.0 11 19.00 11.0 - 52 52 +52 12 Humble Ariano 2 58.0 12 99.99 6.5 - 61 61 +61 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Style Line | 70 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Princess Lola | - | 60 | 61 | -1 | 6.5 | - | |
| 3 | Venetian Moonlight | - | 58 | 55 | +3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Someday Maybe | 56 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Plenilunio | - | 71 | 55 | +16 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Dambusters | - | 52 | 55 | -3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Shine In Memphis | 75 | 75 | 65 | +10 | 6.5 | - | |
| 8 | Spirit In The Wind | - | 60 | 52 | +8 | 11.0 | - | |
| 9 | Chilli Marmalade | 60 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bilingual | - | 60 | 52 | +8 | 11.0 | - | |
| 11 | Teo Torriatte | - | 94 | 52 | +42 | 11.0 | - | |
| 12 | Humble Ariano | - | 40 | 61 | -21 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points