Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: BETWAY WE PAY YOUR TAX ON HORSE RACING WINS FM 84 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Golden Aspen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Godspeed 2 52.0 1 0.00 6.5 81 55 81 +0 2 Storm Player 3 57.0 2 0.20 9.5 91 59 81 -10 3 Golden Aspen 6 56.0 3 1.50 0.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Divine Moonlight 4 54.0 4 2.50 11.0 85 50 75 -10 5 Second Breath 2 58.0 5 4.25 6.5 88 67 78 -10 6 Samoa 10 52.5 6 6.00 0.0 72 69 69 -3 7 Wilkies 2 53.0 7 6.10 6.5 70 57 60 -10 8 October Fair 2 58.5 8 6.35 6.5 81 68 71 -10 9 Berengaria 2 58.5 9 15.50 6.5 81 68 71 -10 99 Law Of Success 3 54.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 53 53 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Godspeed | 81 | 60 | 81 | -21 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | Storm Player | 91 | 75 | 81 | -6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 3 | Golden Aspen Line | 76 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Divine Moonlight | 85 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | Second Breath | 88 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | Samoa | 72 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Wilkies | 70 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 6.5 | - | |
| 8 | October Fair | 81 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Berengaria | 81 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Law Of Success | - | 81 | 53 | +28 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points