Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: UTHANDEKILE FOUNDATION MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Papa C
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Twice Golden 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 73 70 73 +0 2 Cyber Time 3 52.5 2 1.80 9.5 68 42 58 -10 3 Papa C 6 58.5 3 3.20 0.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Safe Space 5 52.5 4 3.25 0.0 66 60 60 -6 5 Vengeance Forever 3 52.0 5 3.50 9.5 55 39 45 -10 6 Dance To The Music 3 55.0 6 4.50 9.5 65 44 55 -10 7 Madison Blues 3 59.0 7 5.30 9.5 76 51 66 -10 8 Juan Carlos 7 61.0 8 5.50 0.0 77 74 74 -3 9 Winter Royale 4 52.0 9 8.20 6.0 53 44 44 -9 10 Tom Bombadil 5 52.0 10 8.50 0.0 58 56 56 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twice Golden | 73 | 84 | 73 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cyber Time | 68 | 81 | 58 | +23 | 9.5 | - | |
| 3 | Papa C Line | 72 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Safe Space | 66 | 83 | 60 | +23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Vengeance Forever | 55 | 51 | 45 | +6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Dance To The Music | 65 | 61 | 55 | +6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Madison Blues | 76 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Juan Carlos | 77 | 93 | 74 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Winter Royale | 53 | 53 | 44 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tom Bombadil | 58 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points