Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Venerable
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    His Master's Voice   2    63.0    1    0.00     0.0   71    86           71    +0
2    Hiawatha Goldberg    2    53.0    2    1.60     0.0   66    69           69    +3
3    Venerable            3    60.5    3    4.90     8.0   65    65           65    +0
4    Josephine's Pride    2    60.5    4    6.20     0.0   81    81           81    +0
5    Morning Chess        4    59.5    5    8.40     5.0   79    69           69    -10
6    Basie Raakvat        4    48.0    6    8.50     5.0   35    46           46    +11
7    Almond Butter        2    53.0    7    8.80     0.0   66    66           66    +0
8    Isorender            2    61.0    8    9.70     0.0   82    82           82    +0
9    Wildstyle            2    59.5    9    13.30    0.0   64    79           79    +15
10   Chasin               2    59.5    10   26.70    0.0   64    79           79    +15
11   Doin' Time           5    60.5    11   32.80    0.0   66    81           81    +15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 His Master's Voice 71 69 71 -2 0.0 -
2 Hiawatha Goldberg 66 57 69 -12 0.0 -
3 Venerable Line 65 62 65 -3 8.0
4 Josephine's Pride 81 86 81 +5 0.0 -
5 Morning Chess 79 65 69 -4 5.0 -
6 Basie Raakvat 35 63 46 +17 5.0 -
7 Almond Butter 66 65 66 -1 0.0 -
8 Isorender 82 63 82 -19 0.0 -
9 Wildstyle 64 62 79 -17 0.0 -
10 Chasin 64 64 79 -15 0.0 -
11 Doin' Time 66 54 81 -27 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points