Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: BETWAY AVIATOR MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)

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Line Horse
Someday Maybe
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Gocekwithlove        2    59.0    1    0.00     5.5   -     60           6     +6
2    Cat O'clock          3    59.0    2    4.50     8.5   -     54           54    +54
3    Sankofa              3    60.0    3    6.25     8.5   57    56           56    -1
4    Someday Maybe        3    60.0    4    8.50     8.5   56    56           56    +0
5    Reunion Hotspot      3    59.0    5    9.75     8.5   -     54           54    +54
6    Bossy Boots          4    59.0    6    10.25    10.0  50    51           51    +1
7    Bilingual            4    59.0    7    10.75    10.0  -     51           51    +51
8    Kit Kat Katie        2    60.0    8    11.25    5.5   59    62           62    +3
9    The Navy Lark        4    59.0    9    12.00    10.0  63    51           53    -10
10   Flying Diamond       2    59.0    10   12.50    5.5   -     60           60    +60
11   Mia Barca            2    59.0    11   13.25    5.5   64    60           60    -4
12   Lychee               3    59.0    12   16.00    8.5   -     54           54    +54
13   Granchaco            3    59.0    13   18.00    8.5   -     54           54    +54
14   Bees And Honey       2    59.0    14   20.50    5.5   60    60           60    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Gocekwithlove - 102 6 +96 5.5 -
2 Cat O'clock - 71 54 +17 8.5 -
3 Sankofa 57 55 56 -1 8.5 -
4 Someday Maybe Line 56 56 56 ✓ Match 8.5
5 Reunion Hotspot - 65 54 +11 8.5 -
6 Bossy Boots 50 51 51 ✓ Match 10.0 -
7 Bilingual - 60 51 +9 10.0 -
8 Kit Kat Katie 59 60 62 -2 5.5 -
9 The Navy Lark 63 74 53 +21 10.0 -
10 Flying Diamond - 48 60 -12 5.5 -
11 Mia Barca 64 55 60 -5 5.5 -
12 Lychee - 48 54 -6 8.5 -
13 Granchaco - 30 54 -24 8.5 -
14 Bees And Honey 60 54 60 -6 5.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points