Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 11 FEBRUARY MR 70 DIVIDED HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
A Thousand Tunes
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Royal Shindig 4 58.5 1 0.00 2.0 70 67 70 +0 2 A Thousand Tunes 4 58.5 2 0.05 2.0 67 67 67 +0 3 Silver Celebrity 4 52.0 3 0.15 2.0 52 54 54 +2 4 Jaspero 4 58.5 4 1.15 2.0 67 71 71 +4 5 Mhlabeni 7 59.0 5 3.90 0.0 68 73 73 +5 6 Wicked Grin 5 54.0 6 5.40 0.0 57 62 62 +5 7 Doppio Oro 5 56.0 7 5.50 0.0 67 66 66 -1 8 Rock With Me 5 54.0 8 6.75 0.0 58 62 62 +4 9 Purple Frontier 4 57.5 9 6.80 2.0 65 65 65 +0 10 Curious 5 53.5 10 9.05 0.0 57 61 61 +4 11 Raise The Standard 4 58.5 11 11.55 2.0 67 67 67 +0 12 The Sands 6 54.5 12 17.80 0.0 59 63 63 +4 13 Da Capo 3 58.0 13 20.80 4.0 74 62 64 -10 14 Forged By Fire 3 60.0 14 28.30 4.0 78 66 68 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Shindig | 70 | 62 | 70 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | A Thousand Tunes Line | 67 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Silver Celebrity | 52 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Jaspero | 67 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mhlabeni | 68 | 90 | 73 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Wicked Grin | 57 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Doppio Oro | 67 | 59 | 66 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rock With Me | 58 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Purple Frontier | 65 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Curious | 57 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Raise The Standard | 67 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | The Sands | 59 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Da Capo | 74 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 14 | Forged By Fire | 78 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points