Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Fateful Day
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Teichman             5    54.0    1    0.00     0.0   72    86           72    +0
2    Captainofthegreen    3    58.5    2    0.05     8.0   82    79           79    -3
3    Shoefella            2    55.0    3    1.25     0.0   75    92           92    +17
4    Fateful Day          3    61.0    4    2.35     8.0   86    86           86    +0
5    Release Me           3    59.0    5    2.40     8.0   83    82           82    -1
6    Mr Pigalle           4    56.5    6    2.80     5.0   77    83           83    +6
7    Beyondtheboundary    3    60.0    7    2.85     8.0   84    84           84    +0
8    Roy's Command        4    56.0    8    4.75     5.0   76    80           80    +4
9    Etiquette            3    58.5    9    5.65     8.0   81    79           79    -2
10   Iron Will            4    55.0    10   5.90     5.0   74    78           78    +4
99   Ermelo               2    56.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     91           91    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Teichman 72 73 72 +1 0.0 -
2 Captainofthegreen 82 96 79 +17 8.0 -
3 Shoefella 75 82 92 -10 0.0 -
4 Fateful Day Line 86 93 86 +7 8.0
5 Release Me 83 74 82 -8 8.0 -
6 Mr Pigalle 77 68 83 -15 5.0 -
7 Beyondtheboundary 84 72 84 -12 8.0 -
8 Roy's Command 76 67 80 -13 5.0 -
9 Etiquette 81 83 79 +4 8.0 -
10 Iron Will 74 63 78 -15 5.0 -
99 Ermelo - 91 91 ✓ Match 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points