Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: #destinationcaperacing CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 74 & below)
Line Horse
Gentleman Joe
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Katsu 3 60.0 1 0.00 9.0 73 64 64 -9 2 Keep Shining 3 57.0 2 0.10 9.0 64 58 58 -6 3 Gentleman Joe 3 60.0 3 1.35 9.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Mothership 5 54.5 4 2.10 0.0 68 76 76 +8 5 Twice The Master 3 54.0 5 2.40 9.0 59 56 56 -3 6 Exceeder 4 60.0 6 4.65 5.0 70 73 73 +3 7 Tothemoonandback 5 58.5 7 5.05 0.0 70 79 79 +9 8 Quatermain 2 60.0 8 6.30 0.0 73 82 82 +9 9 Big Poppa 3 57.0 9 7.30 9.0 66 58 58 -8 10 Miss New York 3 56.0 10 8.80 9.0 71 56 61 -10 11 Guy Alexander 3 60.0 11 11.05 9.0 71 64 64 -7 12 Saint Silas 2 58.5 12 14.05 0.0 69 79 79 +10 99 Woman's World 4 53.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 58 58 +0 99 Rewrite The Stars 5 51.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Lucy The Pink 2 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katsu | 73 | 81 | 64 | +17 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Keep Shining | 64 | 64 | 58 | +6 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gentleman Joe Line | 69 | 83 | 69 | +14 | 9.0 | ||
| 4 | Mothership | 68 | 50 | 76 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twice The Master | 59 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Exceeder | 70 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tothemoonandback | 70 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Quatermain | 73 | 79 | 82 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Big Poppa | 66 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Miss New York | 71 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 9.0 | - | |
| 11 | Guy Alexander | 71 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | Saint Silas | 69 | 65 | 79 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Woman's World | - | 94 | 58 | +36 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rewrite The Stars | - | 59 | 65 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lucy The Pink | - | 63 | 68 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points