Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Jp Two Thousand
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Time Together 3 57.0 1 0.00 7.0 72 71 72 +0 2 Jp Two Thousand 3 57.0 2 0.10 7.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Master Of Law 3 58.0 3 0.50 7.0 73 78 78 +5 4 Joshua Hotsnake 3 57.5 4 1.50 7.0 72 75 75 +3 5 Oshakati 2 55.0 5 1.90 0.0 68 84 84 +16 6 Masterbling 3 56.0 6 2.30 7.0 70 71 71 +1 7 Corsican 2 55.5 7 3.00 0.0 69 84 84 +15 8 Forest Jump 8 59.0 8 4.80 0.0 75 89 89 +14 9 Gimme A Rainbow 4 58.5 9 6.40 4.5 77 79 79 +2 99 William Rufus 2 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 93 93 +0 99 Count Marsh 7 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Time Together | 72 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jp Two Thousand Line | 71 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Master Of Law | 73 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Joshua Hotsnake | 72 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Oshakati | 68 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Masterbling | 70 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Corsican | 69 | 61 | 84 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Forest Jump | 75 | 62 | 89 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gimme A Rainbow | 77 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | William Rufus | - | 88 | 93 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Count Marsh | - | 52 | 83 | -31 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points