Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Bella Attrice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cold Truth 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 80 6 +6 2 Piton De Neige 4 59.0 2 2.00 10.0 62 58 58 -4 3 Bella Attrice 2 59.0 3 2.05 5.5 67 67 67 +0 4 Happy Vibes 3 60.0 4 3.80 8.5 64 63 63 -1 5 Heartlight 2 60.0 5 4.05 5.5 58 69 69 +11 6 Grace Upon Grace 2 59.0 6 5.05 5.5 - 67 67 +67 7 Tune Again 6 60.0 7 5.55 0.0 30 80 80 +50 8 Lava Fields 3 59.0 8 5.80 8.5 - 61 61 +61 9 Painted Beauty 4 60.0 9 17.05 10.0 30 60 60 +30 10 Elusive Hunter 4 59.0 10 24.05 10.0 - 58 58 +58 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cold Truth | - | 61 | 6 | +55 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Piton De Neige | 62 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 10.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bella Attrice Line | 67 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 5.5 | ||
| 4 | Happy Vibes | 64 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Heartlight | 58 | 48 | 69 | -21 | 5.5 | - | |
| 6 | Grace Upon Grace | - | 60 | 67 | -7 | 5.5 | - | |
| 7 | Tune Again | 30 | 50 | 80 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lava Fields | - | 42 | 61 | -19 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Painted Beauty | 30 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 10.0 | - | |
| 10 | Elusive Hunter | - | 50 | 58 | -8 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points