Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WSB LIVE BLACKJACK TOMMY HOTSPUR STAKES (Grade 3) (For all Horses)
Line Horse
Winter Stories
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gallic Princess 5 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 114 119 119 +5 2 Winter Stories 4 58.0 2 2.25 5.0 114 114 114 +0 3 Sweet Future 4 53.5 3 2.30 5.0 110 105 105 -5 4 Anna Capri 4 55.5 4 2.35 5.0 112 109 109 -3 5 Kwite A Trip 4 52.0 5 2.65 5.0 101 102 102 +1 6 Master Archie 3 56.0 6 2.95 4.5 114 111 111 -3 7 Chantyman 7 60.0 7 4.20 0.0 118 128 128 +10 8 Winter Smoke 4 53.5 8 5.15 5.0 107 105 105 -2 9 Country Squire 6 50.0 9 5.20 0.0 79 108 108 +29 10 Bold Ransom 5 58.0 10 5.75 0.0 113 124 124 +11 11 Twice As Splendid 3 50.5 11 8.25 4.5 74 100 100 +26 12 Rivarine 8 58.0 12 10.00 0.0 115 124 124 +9 13 Singforafa 5 55.5 13 11.75 0.0 116 119 119 +3 14 Kings Road 5 52.0 14 14.00 0.0 97 112 112 +15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gallic Princess | 114 | 115 | 119 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winter Stories Line | 114 | 95 | 114 | -19 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Sweet Future | 110 | 110 | 105 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Anna Capri | 112 | 107 | 109 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kwite A Trip | 101 | 93 | 102 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Master Archie | 114 | 128 | 111 | +17 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Chantyman | 118 | 114 | 128 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Winter Smoke | 107 | 112 | 105 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Country Squire | 79 | 79 | 108 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bold Ransom | 113 | 110 | 124 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Twice As Splendid | 74 | 81 | 100 | -19 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Rivarine | 115 | 113 | 124 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Singforafa | 116 | 111 | 119 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Kings Road | 97 | 79 | 112 | -33 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points