Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CAPE B STAKES (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Miss Greenlight
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Cloud 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 103 100 100 -3 2 Oni San 2 52.5 2 1.00 0.0 89 89 89 +0 3 Miss Greenlight 3 57.0 3 1.75 7.0 83 83 83 +0 4 The Charleston 2 57.0 4 2.15 0.0 98 97 97 -1 5 Where's The Party 5 54.5 5 2.65 0.0 80 91 91 +11 6 Body Electric 2 57.0 6 4.90 0.0 86 94 94 +8 7 Baltic Secret 2 55.5 7 5.40 0.0 95 91 91 -4 8 Flying V 2 52.5 8 7.40 0.0 88 85 85 -3 9 Double Dream 3 52.5 9 12.90 7.0 75 71 71 -4 10 Spywing 2 57.0 10 99.99 0.0 85 94 94 +9 99 La Pura Vida 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 100 100 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Cloud | 103 | 114 | 100 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Oni San | 89 | 78 | 89 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Miss Greenlight Line | 83 | 100 | 83 | +17 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | The Charleston | 98 | 83 | 97 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Where's The Party | 80 | 85 | 91 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Body Electric | 86 | 85 | 94 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Baltic Secret | 95 | 98 | 91 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flying V | 88 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Double Dream | 75 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Spywing | 85 | 85 | 94 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | La Pura Vida | - | 77 | 100 | -23 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points