Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA FM 96 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Mythical Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Winter Greeting      5    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   99    96           99    +0
2    Mythical Dream       5    56.0    2    2.80     0.0   88    88           88    +0
3    Second Breath        2    56.0    3    5.30     5.5   88    77           78    -10
4    Lucy In The Sky      4    53.0    4    6.10     10.0  90    62           80    -10
5    What A Honey         3    59.0    5    7.00     8.5   94    77           84    -10
6    Emerald Princess     3    61.0    6    10.00    8.5   98    81           88    -10
99   Coldhardstare        2    59.0    99   0.00     5.5   -     83           83    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Winter Greeting 99 104 99 +5 0.0 -
2 Mythical Dream Line 88 88 88 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Second Breath 88 79 78 +1 5.5 -
4 Lucy In The Sky 90 74 80 -6 10.0 -
5 What A Honey 94 97 84 +13 8.5 -
6 Emerald Princess 98 98 88 +10 8.5 -
99 Coldhardstare - 94 83 +11 5.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points