Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 21 OCTOBER FM 88 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Just Be Nice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 River Queraress 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 88 100 88 +0 2 Juliet Tango 6 60.0 2 0.05 0.0 91 101 101 +10 3 Nyali Beach 2 52.0 3 2.80 0.0 76 87 87 +11 4 Just Be Nice 3 54.5 4 3.20 8.0 76 76 76 +0 5 Trentino 2 54.5 5 3.30 0.0 78 91 91 +13 6 Magical Flight 4 60.5 6 4.30 5.0 89 92 92 +3 7 Tamil Tigress 2 53.0 7 4.60 0.0 90 87 87 -3 8 Woman Of Substance 3 53.5 8 5.85 8.0 75 72 72 -3 9 Little Miz Swagger 2 52.0 9 6.05 0.0 88 85 85 -3 10 Que Ceu Azul 2 56.5 10 9.15 0.0 82 94 94 +12 99 Sharapova 5 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 90 90 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | River Queraress | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Juliet Tango | 91 | 81 | 101 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Nyali Beach | 76 | 70 | 87 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Just Be Nice Line | 76 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 8.0 | ||
| 5 | Trentino | 78 | 54 | 91 | -37 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Magical Flight | 89 | 85 | 92 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tamil Tigress | 90 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Woman Of Substance | 75 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Little Miz Swagger | 88 | 71 | 85 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Que Ceu Azul | 82 | 72 | 94 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sharapova | - | 80 | 90 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points