Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Naushon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Magic Verse 3 59.0 1 0.00 8.0 - 64 6 +6 2 Spelling Bee 2 59.0 2 1.75 0.0 - 83 83 +83 3 Naushon 3 61.0 3 2.50 8.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Run Rudolph Run 3 56.0 4 5.50 8.0 60 58 58 -2 5 Destiny's Angel 3 53.0 5 6.75 8.0 49 52 52 +3 6 Makhachev 2 58.0 6 6.95 0.0 80 78 78 -2 7 Golden Corn 2 52.0 7 7.00 0.0 73 66 66 -7 8 Dawn Cloud 2 59.0 8 9.25 0.0 - 80 80 +80 9 Future Contract 3 52.0 9 11.00 8.0 45 50 50 +5 10 Diamond Rockstar 3 52.0 10 12.50 8.0 52 50 50 -2 11 Over Emotional 2 59.0 11 12.55 0.0 - 80 80 +80 99 Rogue Male 3 53.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 52 52 +0 99 Lord Quinn 4 59.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 70 70 +0 99 William's Legacy 2 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic Verse | - | 115 | 6 | +109 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Spelling Bee | - | 86 | 83 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Naushon Line | 70 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Run Rudolph Run | 60 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Destiny's Angel | 49 | 92 | 52 | +40 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Makhachev | 80 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Golden Corn | 73 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Dawn Cloud | - | 60 | 80 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Future Contract | 45 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Diamond Rockstar | 52 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 11 | Over Emotional | - | 57 | 80 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rogue Male | - | 50 | 52 | -2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lord Quinn | - | 54 | 70 | -16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | William's Legacy | - | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points