Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (For Maidens R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Raptor Island
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Donny Tee 4 59.0 1 0.00 10.0 76 53 53 -23 2 Raptor Island 2 60.0 2 3.25 5.5 64 64 64 +0 3 This Time Round 2 60.0 3 6.75 5.5 54 64 64 +10 4 Concerto 4 56.5 4 8.25 10.0 - 48 48 +48 5 Greek Mafia 5 56.0 5 8.50 0.0 47 67 67 +20 6 Trippis Tune 3 59.0 6 10.25 8.5 - 56 56 +56 7 Big Five 3 60.0 7 14.25 8.5 55 58 58 +3 8 Royal Statesman 2 57.5 8 17.50 5.5 69 59 59 -10 9 Lontano 2 56.5 9 19.50 5.5 - 57 57 +57 10 Pantador 2 59.0 10 21.25 5.5 - 62 62 +62 11 Lady Zundra 3 56.5 11 31.00 8.5 - 51 51 +51 12 For The Boytjies 4 57.5 12 36.50 10.0 - 50 50 +50 99 Lord Capulet 3 59.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 56 56 +0 99 Deep Dive 3 60.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donny Tee | 76 | 68 | 53 | +15 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Raptor Island Line | 64 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 5.5 | ||
| 3 | This Time Round | 54 | 54 | 64 | -10 | 5.5 | - | |
| 4 | Concerto | - | 73 | 48 | +25 | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Greek Mafia | 47 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Trippis Tune | - | 70 | 56 | +14 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Big Five | 55 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Statesman | 69 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 5.5 | - | |
| 9 | Lontano | - | 47 | 57 | -10 | 5.5 | - | |
| 10 | Pantador | - | 40 | 62 | -22 | 5.5 | - | |
| 11 | Lady Zundra | - | 10 | 51 | -41 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | For The Boytjies | - | - | 50 | -50 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lord Capulet | - | 55 | 56 | -1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Deep Dive | - | 39 | 58 | -19 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points