Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WWW.SOCCER6.CO.ZA MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Phantomoftheforest
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Path Of Choice 5 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 61 72 61 +0 2 Timbavati River 3 58.0 2 0.25 7.0 62 59 59 -3 3 Phantomoftheforest 3 59.0 3 1.50 7.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Humble Tune 4 58.5 4 3.00 4.5 63 67 67 +4 5 Homer Fidget 4 55.5 5 3.10 4.5 57 61 61 +4 6 We All Chomies 5 51.0 6 4.60 0.0 46 59 59 +13 7 Absolu Noir 8 52.0 7 4.85 0.0 50 61 61 +11 8 Nkalanzinzi 3 52.5 8 5.35 7.0 51 48 48 -3 9 Admiral's Ransom 3 52.5 9 5.60 7.0 59 48 49 -10 10 American Dream 3 60.0 10 7.60 7.0 66 63 63 -3 11 Bennelong Point 2 60.0 11 11.10 0.0 67 77 77 +10 99 Irontail 4 56.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 61 61 +0 99 Dirty Martini 4 53.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Path Of Choice | 61 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Timbavati River | 62 | 79 | 59 | +20 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Phantomoftheforest Line | 64 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Humble Tune | 63 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Homer Fidget | 57 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | We All Chomies | 46 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Absolu Noir | 50 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Nkalanzinzi | 51 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Admiral's Ransom | 59 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | American Dream | 66 | 81 | 63 | +18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bennelong Point | 67 | 58 | 77 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Irontail | - | 64 | 61 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Dirty Martini | - | 50 | 54 | -4 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points