Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: HALFWAY TO HEAVEN PINNACLE STAKES (Open)
Line Horse
Goodtime Guy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Invidia 5 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 104 104 104 +0 1 Chimichuri Run 6 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 114 112 112 -2 3 Vars Vicky 4 56.0 3 1.00 2.0 110 108 108 -2 4 Goodtime Guy 4 50.0 4 1.25 2.0 96 96 96 +0 5 Mk's Pride 4 62.0 5 3.75 2.0 123 117 117 -6 6 Forever Mine 4 54.5 6 5.75 2.0 104 101 101 -3 7 Bingwa 7 60.0 7 6.00 0.0 118 116 116 -2 8 Mardi Gras 7 54.0 8 10.00 0.0 106 104 104 -2 9 Ikigai 8 56.0 9 13.00 0.0 110 108 108 -2 10 Captain Hindsight 5 50.0 10 17.00 0.0 95 96 96 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Invidia | 104 | 105 | 104 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 1 | Chimichuri Run | 114 | 115 | 112 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Vars Vicky | 110 | 116 | 108 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Goodtime Guy Line | 96 | 96 | 96 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Mk's Pride | 123 | 116 | 117 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Forever Mine | 104 | 105 | 101 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bingwa | 118 | 107 | 116 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mardi Gras | 106 | 83 | 104 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ikigai | 110 | 91 | 108 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Captain Hindsight | 95 | 112 | 96 | +16 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points