Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 84 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Zinikele
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Morgan La Fay        2    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   85    81           85    +0
2    Zinikele             5    60.5    2    1.20     0.0   86    86           86    +0
3    Aisling              3    58.5    3    1.60     7.0   81    67           71    -10
4    Mvulazana            3    59.0    4    3.10     7.0   82    67           72    -10
5    Sleek As Silk        2    53.0    5    3.20     0.0   79    69           69    -10
6    Time For Glory       2    56.5    6    3.80     0.0   78    75           75    -3
7    Imperious Destiny    3    59.5    7    6.00     7.0   84    66           74    -10
8    Toto                 4    59.0    8    6.30     4.5   82    70           72    -10
9    Mission Rocks        3    56.5    9    7.20     7.0   78    60           68    -10
10   Woodland Retreat     2    60.5    10   10.90    0.0   86    82           82    -4
99   Malcolm's Dream      6    56.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     73           73    +0
99   Danse Milord         3    59.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     66           66    +0
99   Lillybelle           6    58.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     78           78    +0
99   Oh So Squishy        3    54.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     56           56    +0
99   Red Roses Too        5    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     75           75    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Morgan La Fay 85 98 85 +13 0.0 -
2 Zinikele Line 86 89 86 +3 0.0
3 Aisling 81 66 71 -5 7.0 -
4 Mvulazana 82 82 72 +10 7.0 -
5 Sleek As Silk 79 87 69 +18 0.0 -
6 Time For Glory 78 77 75 +2 0.0 -
7 Imperious Destiny 84 85 74 +11 7.0 -
8 Toto 82 79 72 +7 4.5 -
9 Mission Rocks 78 74 68 +6 7.0 -
10 Woodland Retreat 86 75 82 -7 0.0 -
99 Malcolm's Dream - 88 73 +15 0.0 -
99 Danse Milord - 94 66 +28 7.0 -
99 Lillybelle - 73 78 -5 0.0 -
99 Oh So Squishy - 68 56 +12 7.0 -
99 Red Roses Too - 82 75 +7 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points