Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: MAIDEN PLATE (Maiden Plate Colts & Geldings to carry)
Line Horse
Red Orchid
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 4
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 4
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 4
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Red Orchid 3 58.5 1 0.00 8.5 48 48 48 +0 2 Pair Of Aces 4 60.0 2 4.00 10.0 - 48 48 +48 3 I Got The Secret 3 58.5 3 23.00 8.5 - 48 48 +48 99 Follow The Band 2 60.0 99 0.00 5.5 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Red Orchid Line | 48 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 8.5 | ||
| 2 | Pair Of Aces | - | 39 | 48 | -9 | 10.0 | - | |
| 3 | I Got The Secret | - | 21 | 48 | -27 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Follow The Band | - | 53 | 57 | -4 | 5.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points