Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: MERIT RATED 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Forgotten Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 4
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 4
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 4
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Battle Of Seattle 2 60.0 1 0.00 5.5 75 81 75 +0 2 Admirals Chance 5 58.5 2 0.10 0.0 72 89 89 +17 3 Forgotten Time 3 57.5 3 3.10 8.5 70 70 70 +0 4 Bird In Space 2 55.5 4 4.60 5.5 66 72 72 +6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Battle Of Seattle | 75 | 59 | 75 | -16 | 5.5 | - | |
| 2 | Admirals Chance | 72 | 77 | 89 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Forgotten Time Line | 70 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Bird In Space | 66 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 5.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points