Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: HOLLYWOODBETS DURBANVILLE WELCOMES YOU OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Barnbougle
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hard Winter 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 77 75 75 -2 2 Guarding The Wall 4 61.0 2 0.40 4.5 82 76 76 -6 3 Tambourine Man 5 53.0 3 0.70 0.0 50 69 69 +19 4 Barnbougle 3 61.0 4 2.70 7.0 68 68 68 +0 5 Kwite A King 4 60.0 5 4.45 4.5 - 69 69 +69 6 Snow Cloud 3 58.0 6 5.20 7.0 63 60 60 -3 7 Warwick 3 60.0 7 13.45 7.0 - 64 64 +64 99 Approach Shot 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hard Winter | 77 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Guarding The Wall | 82 | 67 | 76 | -9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Tambourine Man | 50 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Barnbougle Line | 68 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 7.0 | ||
| 5 | Kwite A King | - | 79 | 69 | +10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Snow Cloud | 63 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Warwick | - | - | 64 | -64 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Approach Shot | - | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points