Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Devil A Saint
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Okavango 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 86 74 74 -12 2 Touchdown 4 55.5 2 0.10 1.5 71 68 68 -3 3 Devil A Saint 4 57.0 3 1.35 1.5 74 74 74 +0 4 Master Of Paris 4 58.5 4 3.10 1.5 77 76 76 -1 5 Hoodia 4 60.0 5 3.50 1.5 80 78 78 -2 6 Azzurri 4 57.0 6 3.70 1.5 74 72 72 -2 7 Kebonalesedi 5 56.0 7 4.45 0.0 72 72 72 +0 8 Tenpenny 3 59.0 8 4.85 3.0 84 72 74 -10 9 It Is My Time 3 58.5 9 5.15 3.0 83 71 73 -10 10 Ozark 4 54.0 10 9.15 1.5 68 65 65 -3 11 Baton Rouge 4 55.0 11 12.40 1.5 70 67 67 -3 12 Das Gute 4 58.5 12 17.40 1.5 77 74 74 -3 99 Pinot Grigio 3 59.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Okavango | 86 | 123 | 74 | +49 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Touchdown | 71 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Devil A Saint Line | 74 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Master Of Paris | 77 | 87 | 76 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Hoodia | 80 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Azzurri | 74 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kebonalesedi | 72 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tenpenny | 84 | 105 | 74 | +31 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | It Is My Time | 83 | 88 | 73 | +15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ozark | 68 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Baton Rouge | 70 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Das Gute | 77 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pinot Grigio | - | 93 | 73 | +20 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points