Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Dragonfly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Travel Master 4 52.0 1 0.00 5.0 64 69 64 +0 2 Bramhall Phoenix 3 55.0 2 0.50 4.5 76 76 76 +0 3 Dragonfly 3 61.5 3 1.25 4.5 89 89 89 +0 4 Ridge To Reef 3 55.0 4 2.75 4.5 76 76 76 +0 5 Captain Mike 3 56.0 5 2.85 4.5 78 78 78 +0 6 Ragnar Lothbrok 3 56.5 6 3.60 4.5 79 79 79 +0 7 Auld Mug 3 54.5 7 3.70 4.5 75 75 75 +0 8 The Futurist 3 58.5 8 3.90 4.5 83 83 83 +0 9 Wordsworth 7 55.5 9 6.15 0.0 71 86 86 +15 99 Final Move 3 58.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Travel Master | 64 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bramhall Phoenix | 76 | 78 | 76 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Dragonfly Line | 89 | 71 | 89 | -18 | 4.5 | ||
| 4 | Ridge To Reef | 76 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Captain Mike | 78 | 39 | 78 | -39 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 79 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Auld Mug | 75 | 59 | 75 | -16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | The Futurist | 83 | 104 | 83 | +21 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Wordsworth | 71 | 65 | 86 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Final Move | - | 50 | 83 | -33 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points