Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CLASSIC DAY 5 MARCH JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For 2 yof R60 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fennec Fox 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 2 Magic Tycoon 2 57.0 2 3.75 3.0 - - - +0 3 Littlemarysunshine 2 57.0 3 4.50 3.0 - - - +0 4 National Star 2 57.0 4 7.50 3.0 - - - +0 5 Lunar Winter 2 57.0 5 9.50 3.0 - - - +0 6 Heartlight 2 57.0 6 9.75 3.0 - - - +0 7 Misty Cliffs 2 57.0 7 10.50 3.0 - - - +0 8 Don't Tell Ash 2 57.0 8 12.25 3.0 - - - +0 9 Now Is The Time 2 57.0 9 17.75 3.0 - - - +0 99 Flowerbomb 2 57.0 99 0.00 3.0 - - - +0 99 Bardolphia 2 57.0 99 0.00 3.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fennec Fox | - | 64 | - | +64 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Magic Tycoon | - | 74 | - | +74 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Littlemarysunshine | - | 95 | - | +95 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | National Star | - | 75 | - | +75 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Lunar Winter | - | 59 | - | +59 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Heartlight | - | 48 | - | +48 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Misty Cliffs | - | 64 | - | +64 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Don't Tell Ash | - | 75 | - | +75 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Now Is The Time | - | 66 | - | +66 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Flowerbomb | - | 87 | - | - | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bardolphia | - | 50 | - | - | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points