Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: DOWNLOAD THE RACE CARD ONLINE www.goldcircle.co.za MAIDEN HANDICAP (F & M) (For Maiden F & M with 3 or more runs)
Line Horse
Keenonkelly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Madame Zee 3 60.0 1 0.00 7.5 67 70 67 +0 2 An Air Of Pride 2 56.0 2 0.05 5.0 69 67 67 -2 3 Keenonkelly 2 54.0 3 1.15 5.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Quentasia 4 60.0 4 3.05 9.0 77 67 67 -10 5 Tropical Breeze 3 48.5 5 3.20 7.5 52 47 47 -5 6 Kyniska 3 58.0 6 3.50 7.5 63 66 66 +3 7 Kaitrina's Pride 3 54.5 7 5.20 7.5 65 59 59 -6 8 Tina's Kitten 2 52.0 8 5.45 5.0 58 59 59 +1 9 Grecian Palace 2 59.0 9 6.95 5.0 75 73 73 -2 10 Belle Fontaine 3 52.5 10 9.25 7.5 52 55 55 +3 99 Electra Green 2 55.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madame Zee | 67 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | An Air Of Pride | 69 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Keenonkelly Line | 63 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Quentasia | 77 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tropical Breeze | 52 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 6 | Kyniska | 63 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kaitrina's Pride | 65 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Tina's Kitten | 58 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Grecian Palace | 75 | 62 | 73 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Belle Fontaine | 52 | 65 | 55 | +10 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Electra Green | - | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points