Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)

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Line Horse
All About Al
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fort Red             4    58.5    1    0.00     3.5   75    63           63    -12
2    Masked Vigilante     3    57.0    2    0.40     6.0   72    60           62    -10
3    Jam Jam              2    57.5    3    0.50     0.0   73    73           73    +0
4    All About Al         7    60.0    4    0.70     0.0   78    78           78    +0
5    War Chariot          4    57.0    5    0.80     3.5   84    64           74    -10
6    Bright Blue Sky      2    60.5    6    2.05     0.0   79    77           77    -2
7    Savantrix            4    59.5    7    2.45     3.5   89    67           79    -10
8    Grand Bay            2    57.0    8    5.45     0.0   84    67           74    -10
9    Whiskey Bravo        2    57.0    9    5.75     0.0   83    67           73    -10
10   Lovers Lane          2    57.5    10   5.80     0.0   73    68           68    -5
11   Strawberry Stinger   2    59.0    11   7.55     0.0   88    71           78    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fort Red 75 66 63 +3 3.5 -
2 Masked Vigilante 72 78 62 +16 6.0 -
3 Jam Jam 73 63 73 -10 0.0 -
4 All About Al Line 78 78 78 ✓ Match 0.0
5 War Chariot 84 82 74 +8 3.5 -
6 Bright Blue Sky 79 76 77 -1 0.0 -
7 Savantrix 89 90 79 +11 3.5 -
8 Grand Bay 84 74 74 ✓ Match 0.0 -
9 Whiskey Bravo 83 66 73 -7 0.0 -
10 Lovers Lane 73 58 68 -10 0.0 -
11 Strawberry Stinger 88 62 78 -16 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points