Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 9 NOVEMBER CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 75 and below)
Line Horse
Inventrix
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 After Hours 7 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 68 82 74 +6 2 Inventrix 2 58.5 2 4.25 5.0 73 73 73 +0 3 Neerah 2 56.5 3 4.30 5.0 79 69 69 -10 4 Mandalay 3 50.5 4 4.35 7.5 52 52 52 +0 5 Circle Of Grace 4 56.0 5 4.50 9.0 77 60 67 -10 6 Jasiri 2 58.5 6 5.25 5.0 83 73 73 -10 7 Coming In Hot 3 60.0 7 5.75 7.5 72 71 71 -1 8 Gimme The Flame 5 49.0 8 5.80 0.0 56 64 64 +8 9 Written In Stone 9 52.0 9 6.25 0.0 56 70 70 +14 10 Anytime Champ 3 52.0 10 6.75 7.5 59 55 55 -4 11 Whirlybird 2 57.0 11 6.85 5.0 83 70 73 -10 12 Circus Lights 5 58.0 12 7.00 0.0 70 82 82 +12 13 Palace Revolt 2 60.0 13 7.50 5.0 85 76 76 -9 14 Zoombomber 2 56.0 14 8.00 5.0 77 68 68 -9 99 Try Me 4 56.5 99 0.00 9.0 - 61 61 +0 99 Risky Business 3 50.5 99 0.00 7.5 - 52 52 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | After Hours | 68 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Inventrix Line | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Neerah | 79 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mandalay | 52 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Circle Of Grace | 77 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Jasiri | 83 | 82 | 73 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coming In Hot | 72 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Gimme The Flame | 56 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Written In Stone | 56 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Anytime Champ | 59 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 11 | Whirlybird | 83 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Circus Lights | 70 | 64 | 82 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Palace Revolt | 85 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Zoombomber | 77 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Try Me | - | 52 | 61 | -9 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Risky Business | - | 75 | 52 | +23 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points