Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: NOVICE PLATE (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
Bird In Space
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 5
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 5
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 5
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Buster Barnes 2 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 74 71 71 -3 2 Jusrite 3 58.0 2 2.50 7.5 65 64 64 -1 3 Bird In Space 2 57.5 3 5.50 5.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Count Moderna 3 60.0 4 5.55 7.5 56 68 68 +12 5 Red Orchid 3 57.5 5 13.55 7.5 48 63 63 +15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buster Barnes | 74 | 101 | 71 | +30 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jusrite | 65 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Bird In Space Line | 68 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Count Moderna | 56 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Red Orchid | 48 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points