Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 15 FEBRUARY MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Written In Stone
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sound Of Hounds 3 52.5 1 0.00 3.0 72 58 72 +0 2 Tambora 5 54.5 2 1.25 0.0 69 72 72 +3 3 Written In Stone 9 57.0 3 3.50 0.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Excellarator 3 53.5 4 4.25 3.0 74 61 64 -10 5 Moya Wa Laliga 3 57.0 5 5.25 3.0 81 67 71 -10 6 Raisetheredlantern 4 53.5 6 6.00 2.0 67 62 62 -5 7 Waqaas (AUS) 6 55.5 7 7.00 0.0 76 70 70 -6 8 Tokyo Drift 10 55.5 8 7.50 0.0 71 70 70 -1 9 Euro Cent 4 60.0 9 8.00 2.0 80 75 75 -5 10 Rock The Globe 5 61.0 10 8.25 0.0 82 81 81 -1 11 Tallinn 5 55.5 11 9.25 0.0 71 70 70 -1 12 Southern Blaze 3 56.5 12 12.50 3.0 80 66 70 -10 99 Midnight Caller 4 57.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Lone Survivor 7 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 99 Tillieangus 5 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sound Of Hounds | 72 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tambora | 69 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Written In Stone Line | 74 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Excellarator | 74 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Moya Wa Laliga | 81 | 81 | 71 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Raisetheredlantern | 67 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Waqaas (AUS) | 76 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tokyo Drift | 71 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Euro Cent | 80 | 80 | 75 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Rock The Globe | 82 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Tallinn | 71 | 63 | 70 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Southern Blaze | 80 | 89 | 70 | +19 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Midnight Caller | - | 77 | 70 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lone Survivor | - | 80 | 79 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tillieangus | - | 65 | 72 | -7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points