Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: GREYVILLE CONVENTION CENTRE FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Harley's Fate
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Minogue 4 59.0 1 0.00 3.5 86 65 86 +0 2 Twinklelittlestar 2 59.0 2 1.90 0.0 86 75 76 -10 3 Juniper Green 4 57.5 3 2.40 3.5 83 64 73 -10 4 Harley's Fate 2 57.5 4 2.90 0.0 71 71 71 +0 5 Kitten's Adventure 3 57.0 5 3.00 6.0 70 58 60 -10 6 Fort J'adore 3 59.5 6 3.40 6.0 75 62 65 -10 7 Miss Paget 4 54.0 7 3.45 3.5 76 56 66 -10 8 Rowins Dream 5 53.5 8 4.65 0.0 62 61 61 -1 9 Sting Ray 3 55.0 9 5.45 6.0 74 52 64 -10 10 Bright Star 2 58.5 10 5.95 0.0 73 71 71 -2 11 Family Favourite 3 60.0 11 6.35 6.0 76 62 66 -10 12 Baby On Board 2 52.5 12 6.85 0.0 81 59 71 -10 13 Mauritania 2 56.0 13 10.95 0.0 83 66 73 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minogue | 86 | 112 | 86 | +26 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Twinklelittlestar | 86 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Juniper Green | 83 | 87 | 73 | +14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Harley's Fate Line | 71 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Kitten's Adventure | 70 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fort J'adore | 75 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Miss Paget | 76 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Rowins Dream | 62 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sting Ray | 74 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bright Star | 73 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Family Favourite | 76 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Baby On Board | 81 | 84 | 71 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Mauritania | 83 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points