Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Intrepid
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Wylie Riley          2    59.5    1    0.00     0.0   77    85           77    +0
2    Sundance Kid         5    57.0    2    0.40     0.0   72    85           85    +13
3    Gold Index           3    52.0    3    0.70     6.0   70    63           63    -7
4    Intrepid             3    54.0    4    0.75     6.0   66    66           66    +0
5    Nelson Bay           4    60.0    5    1.25     3.5   90    83           83    -7
6    Dockofthebay         3    58.5    6    2.05     6.0   78    74           74    -4
7    Oshakati             2    54.5    7    2.55     0.0   67    77           77    +10
8    One Irish Rover      5    56.5    8    2.95     0.0   71    81           81    +10
9    Red Magician         3    52.0    9    3.15     6.0   56    60           60    +4
10   Kimball O'Hara       2    56.5    10   3.55     0.0   71    80           80    +9
11   Knight Warrior       5    59.0    11   3.80     0.0   76    85           85    +9
12   Unsolved Riddle      3    60.0    12   9.70     6.0   78    74           74    -4
99   Iron Will            4    56.5    99   0.00     3.5   -     72           72    +0
99   Ultimate Jewel       5    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     80           80    +0
99   Aerial Display       5    55.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     77           77    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Wylie Riley 77 79 77 +2 0.0 -
2 Sundance Kid 72 96 85 +11 0.0 -
3 Gold Index 70 53 63 -10 6.0 -
4 Intrepid Line 66 73 66 +7 6.0
5 Nelson Bay 90 90 83 +7 3.5 -
6 Dockofthebay 78 71 74 -3 6.0 -
7 Oshakati 67 59 77 -18 0.0 -
8 One Irish Rover 71 65 81 -16 0.0 -
9 Red Magician 56 49 60 -11 6.0 -
10 Kimball O'Hara 71 61 80 -19 0.0 -
11 Knight Warrior 76 74 85 -11 0.0 -
12 Unsolved Riddle 78 77 74 +3 6.0 -
99 Iron Will - 63 72 -9 3.5 -
99 Ultimate Jewel - 80 80 ✓ Match 0.0 -
99 Aerial Display - 68 77 -9 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points