Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: www.goldcircle.co.za MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Lazy Guy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Time Together 3 55.0 1 0.00 7.5 75 70 75 +0 2 Purple Operator 3 58.0 2 1.80 7.5 73 76 76 +3 3 Lazy Guy 4 53.5 3 2.20 9.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Quick Star 6 57.5 4 2.60 0.0 72 90 90 +18 5 Joshua Hotsnake 3 57.5 5 3.60 7.5 72 75 75 +3 6 Count Marsh 7 56.0 6 4.20 0.0 69 87 87 +18 7 Gimme A Rainbow 4 58.5 7 4.70 9.0 77 74 74 -3 8 Lucky Dollar 2 56.0 8 7.90 5.0 69 77 77 +8 99 Trade War 3 58.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Time Together | 75 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Purple Operator | 73 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Lazy Guy Line | 64 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 9.0 | ||
| 4 | Quick Star | 72 | 60 | 90 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Joshua Hotsnake | 72 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 7.5 | - | |
| 6 | Count Marsh | 69 | 52 | 87 | -35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gimme A Rainbow | 77 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lucky Dollar | 69 | 85 | 77 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Trade War | - | 70 | 76 | -6 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points