Official NHA Assessment
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Line Horse
Three Bells
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Harold The Duke 3 60.0 1 0.00 8.5 60 55 55 -5 2 Azaleas For All 4 52.5 2 3.25 5.0 77 50 67 -10 3 All Rise 3 56.5 3 6.75 8.5 59 48 49 -10 4 Martinique 2 52.5 4 7.25 0.0 64 57 57 -7 5 Three Bells 3 56.5 5 8.75 8.5 48 48 48 +0 6 Siracha 3 56.5 6 10.00 8.5 48 48 48 +0 7 Bomber Grigio 3 56.5 7 27.00 8.5 46 48 48 +2 99 Exhale 3 60.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harold The Duke | 60 | 86 | 55 | +31 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Azaleas For All | 77 | 82 | 67 | +15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | All Rise | 59 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Martinique | 64 | 66 | 57 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Three Bells Line | 48 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 8.5 | ||
| 6 | Siracha | 48 | 48 | 48 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bomber Grigio | 46 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Exhale | - | 66 | 55 | +11 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points