Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Palo Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Highlyconfidential 2 58.5 1 0.00 5.0 85 65 65 -20 2 Great Cat 5 56.0 2 2.00 0.0 69 70 70 +1 3 She's My Captain 3 58.5 3 2.50 7.5 75 60 65 -10 4 Palo Queen 5 57.5 4 3.25 0.0 73 73 73 +0 5 Flying First 2 61.0 5 3.35 5.0 80 70 70 -10 6 Where's The Party 5 60.5 6 4.60 0.0 79 79 79 +0 7 La Divina 4 58.5 7 4.90 9.0 85 57 75 -10 8 Silver Screen 2 52.0 8 5.30 5.0 61 52 52 -9 9 Electric Feels 5 53.5 9 6.05 0.0 65 65 65 +0 10 Gypsy Express 5 58.0 10 7.05 0.0 74 74 74 +0 11 Amethystic 2 56.5 11 8.30 5.0 71 61 61 -10 12 Country Time 5 60.0 12 8.40 0.0 78 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highlyconfidential | 85 | 86 | 65 | +21 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Great Cat | 69 | 82 | 70 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | She's My Captain | 75 | 77 | 65 | +12 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Palo Queen Line | 73 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Flying First | 80 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Where's The Party | 79 | 85 | 79 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | La Divina | 85 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Silver Screen | 61 | 70 | 52 | +18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Electric Feels | 65 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Gypsy Express | 74 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Amethystic | 71 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Country Time | 78 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points